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Marketing & agency

SEO ROI Calculator

Works return on search optimisation, where the horizon is long and the attribution is hard.

Your numbers

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Result

Payback period 10.2 Months
Net gain per month $1,180
Net return over the period $30,480
Return on investment 254%
It pays for itself in 10.2 months and returns $30,480 over 36 months, a 254% return.

Simple payback, with no discounting and no financing cost. For anything large or long, money now is worth more than money later and a lender will want interest, both of which make the real return lower than this.

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How the calculation works

Gross margin on revenue from organic search, less the cost of the work, divided by that cost, measured over a period long enough for the work to have taken effect. The lag between effort and result is months, which makes short measurement periods meaningless.

What moves the number

  • Time lag between the work and the ranking change.
  • Branded against non-branded organic traffic.
  • Gross margin on the revenue.
  • What organic traffic would have existed anyway.

Where this one goes wrong

Branded organic traffic largely existed regardless of any optimisation work, which means including it in the return makes almost any programme look successful and tells you nothing, so the figure to measure is non-branded organic. Separate them. The long lag is the other difficulty, and it cuts both ways: work done this quarter shows up next year, and the traffic arriving now may be the result of work done long ago or of nothing at all.

Before you quote

  • Measure non-branded organic traffic, not total organic.
  • Use a measurement period that matches the lag.
  • Use gross margin, not revenue or traffic.

Questions

About this calculator

Why separate branded from non-branded organic traffic?

Because branded traffic largely existed regardless of any optimisation work. Including it makes almost any programme look successful and tells you nothing, so non-branded organic is the figure that reflects what the work achieved.

How long before search work shows results?

Months, which makes short measurement periods meaningless. It cuts both ways: work done this quarter shows up much later, and traffic arriving now may be the result of work done long ago or of something else entirely.

Is traffic a good measure of success?

No, since traffic without commercial intent produces nothing. Revenue is better and gross margin on revenue is better still, and a programme reporting traffic growth without any commercial figure is reporting activity rather than results.

How useful was this calculator?

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The formula

payback = cost / (monthly gain - monthly running cost)

Put this calculator on your site

Free to embed. Paste this where you want it to appear. It stays up to date automatically because it loads from BDEVY.

Please keep the attribution line. It is the only thing we ask in return.

How to use this calculator

  1. Up-front cost ($). Enter your own figure; the page starts at $12,000.
  2. Extra gross profit per month ($). Enter your own figure; the page starts at $1,400.
  3. Extra running cost per month ($). Enter your own figure; the page starts at $220.
  4. Period to judge it over. Enter your own figure; the page starts at 36.

The result updates as you type, so you can try a figure, see what it does to payback period, and change it back. Nothing you enter is sent anywhere or saved.

A worked example

These are the figures the calculator opens with. Every number in the results column below is produced by the same calculation the page runs, so you can follow it through before putting your own figures in.

What goes in

InputValue
Up-front cost$12,000
Extra gross profit per month$1,400
Extra running cost per month$220
Period to judge it over36

What comes out

ResultValue
Payback period main result10.2
Net gain per month$1,180
Net return over the period$30,480
Return on investment254%

It pays for itself in 10.2 months and returns $30,480 over 36 months, a 254% return.

How sensitive the answer is

Holding everything else steady and changing only up-front cost, this is what happens to payback period. It is worth knowing which of your inputs the answer actually hinges on, and which barely move it.

Up-front cost ($)Payback period
$6,000 5.1
$9,000 7.6
$12,000 example above 10.2
$18,000 15.3
$24,000 20.3

Every other input is held at the example value while this one changes, which is not how a real job behaves. Treat it as a guide to which number matters most, not as five separate quotes.

What each figure means

Up-front cost ($)
A money amount, starting at $12,000.
Extra gross profit per month ($)
A money amount, starting at $1,400.
Extra running cost per month ($)
A money amount, starting at $220.
Period to judge it over
A number, between 0 and 240, starting at 36.

What the results tell you

ResultWhat it is
Payback periodThe headline result. A decimal figure.
Net gain per monthA money figure.
Net return over the periodA money figure.
Return on investmentA percentage.

Attribution is the weak link

Return and cost-per-lead figures depend on knowing which enquiries came from which source, and most home-services businesses do not track that reliably. If the source data is guesswork, so is the return.

Estimating is the easy part

The jobs you never hear about cost more than the ones you mis-measure. BDEVY builds the marketing, systems and automation that bring them in.