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Plumbing

Plumbing Lead Value Calculator

Work out what one lead is worth in gross profit and the maximum you can afford to pay for one.

Your numbers

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$
%
%
Spending the whole value leaves nothing for the business.

Result

Value of one lead $261.12
From the first job alone $76.80
Value of one customer $816
Most to pay per lead $65.28
One lead is worth $261.12 in gross profit once the close rate and repeat work are counted. Paying more than $65.28 for one leaves too little behind to be worth doing.

This is gross profit, not revenue, and it counts the whole relationship rather than the first job. It assumes the repeat work is real for your business, which is worth checking against your own records before spending against it.

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What moves the number

  • Close rate, since a lead is worth its probability of becoming work.
  • Average job gross profit rather than revenue.
  • Repeat and referral value.

Where this one goes wrong

Valuing a lead on first-job revenue. The first job frequently only covers acquisition; the value is in repeat calls and the larger work that follows.

Questions

About this calculator

What is the maximum to pay for a lead?

Less than the gross profit it produces on average, with room left for the business. Paying up to the gross profit hands all of it to the lead source.

Do lead sources differ?

Substantially, and averaging them hides it. Track close rate and job value by source to see which deserve more spend.

Should lifetime value be included?

Carefully. It justifies paying far more per lead, which only works if your retention actually delivers what the model assumes.

How useful was this calculator?

Not rated yet. Yours would be the first.

The formula

lead value = close rate x first job profit x (1 + repeat jobs)

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How to use this calculator

  1. Share of leads you win (%). Enter your own figure; the page starts at 32%.
  2. Average first job ($). Enter your own figure; the page starts at $480.
  3. Gross margin (%). Enter your own figure; the page starts at 50%.
  4. Extra jobs over the relationship. Enter your own figure; the page starts at 2.4.
  5. Share of value you will spend (%). Spending the whole value leaves nothing for the business.

The result updates as you type, so you can try a figure, see what it does to value of one lead, and change it back. Nothing you enter is sent anywhere or saved.

A worked example

These are the figures the calculator opens with. Every number in the results column below is produced by the same calculation the page runs, so you can follow it through before putting your own figures in.

What goes in

InputValue
Share of leads you win32%
Average first job$480
Gross margin50%
Extra jobs over the relationship2.4
Share of value you will spend25%

What comes out

ResultValue
Value of one lead main result$261.12
From the first job alone$76.80
Value of one customer$816
Most to pay per lead$65.28

One lead is worth $261.12 in gross profit once the close rate and repeat work are counted. Paying more than $65.28 for one leaves too little behind to be worth doing.

How sensitive the answer is

Holding everything else steady and changing only average first job, this is what happens to value of one lead. It is worth knowing which of your inputs the answer actually hinges on, and which barely move it.

Average first job ($)Value of one lead
$240 $130.56
$360 $195.84
$480 example above $261.12
$720 $391.68
$960 $522.24

Every other input is held at the example value while this one changes, which is not how a real job behaves. Treat it as a guide to which number matters most, not as five separate quotes.

What each figure means

Share of leads you win (%)
A percentage, between 0 and 100, starting at 32%.
Average first job ($)
A money amount, starting at $480.
Gross margin (%)
A percentage, between 0 and 95, starting at 50%.
Extra jobs over the relationship
A number, between 0 and 50, starting at 2.4.
Share of value you will spend (%)
Spending the whole value leaves nothing for the business.

What the results tell you

ResultWhat it is
Value of one leadThe headline result. A money figure.
From the first job aloneA money figure.
Value of one customerA money figure.
Most to pay per leadA money figure.

Before you rely on this number

Pipe sizing, flow and pressure figures depend on the actual fittings, the run, the material and local code. Code requirements vary by jurisdiction and override any general calculation, so check what applies where the work is happening.

Estimating is the easy part

The jobs you never hear about cost more than the ones you mis-measure. BDEVY builds the marketing, systems and automation that bring them in.